2015 Season results for Las Cruces (BV,3-6A)

17   11   1
Rank in
State, Class, District
1152     -234
Strength     Momentum
1005   57.7(15)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  16W   4L   2T 
District  8W   0L   0T 
Expected  17:   2+   1- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/21/15 Rio Rancho 0.0001315L 1- 2 Expected (0)1174 27%
08/22/15 Cleveland 0.0001236T 1- 1 Better (+1)1184 39%
08/28/15 Santa Teresa 0.000902W 1- 0 Expected (-2)1067 87%
08/28/15 at Alamogordo ?? 0.0001005L 1- 2 Worse (-2)1038 71%
08/29/15 at Chaparral 0.000972W 1- 0 Expected (-1)1122 76%
09/01/15 at Alamogordo ! 0.0001005W 8- 0 Expected (+7)1498 71%
09/03/15 Cathedral   W 3- 0 ------ ---
09/10/15 Cathedral   W 5- 0 ------ ---
09/12/15 at Carlsbad !! 0.0011095W 8- 0 Expected (+8)1543 57%
09/15/15 Silver 0.001870W 10- 0 Expected (+7)1521 89%
09/18/15 Volcano Vista 0.0191251L 2- 3 Expected (0)1142 37%
09/19/15 La Cueva 0.0231305T 0- 0 Better (+1)1219 29%
09/24/15 Mayfield 0.034854W 4- 0 Expected (+1)1195 89%
09/26/15 at Onate 0.060859W 1- 0 Expected (-2)1065 86%
10/01/15 at Deming 0.086584W 3- 0 Expected (-2)1028 97%
10/06/15 at Gadsden 0.1901013W 2- 1 Expected (0)1142 69%
10/10/15 at Mayfield 0.278854W 1- 0 Expected (-2)1063 87%
10/15/15 Onate 0.306859W 4- 0 Expected (+1)1197 89%
10/22/15 Gadsden 0.6611013W 2- 1 Expected (-1)1123 75%
10/24/15 Deming 0.228584W 7- 0 Expected (+1)1215 98%
10/30/15 Gadsden 0.8421013W 4- 2 Expected (0)1173 75%
11/05/15 * Atrisco Heritage 0.8571350L 0- 2 Expected (0)1141 20%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Las Cruces actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1005, while
Las Cruces's "weighted playing strength" is 1146
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)

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