17 11 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1152 -234 Strength Momentum |
1005 57.7(15) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/21/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.000 | 1315 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1174 | 27% | |
08/22/15 | Cleveland | 0.000 | 1236 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 1184 | 39% | |
08/28/15 | Santa Teresa | 0.000 | 902 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1067 | 87% | |
08/28/15 | at Alamogordo ?? | 0.000 | 1005 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-2) | 1038 | 71% | |
08/29/15 | at Chaparral | 0.000 | 972 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1122 | 76% | |
09/01/15 | at Alamogordo ! | 0.000 | 1005 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1498 | 71% | |
09/03/15 | Cathedral | W 3- 0 | --- | --- | --- | |||
09/10/15 | Cathedral | W 5- 0 | --- | --- | --- | |||
09/12/15 | at Carlsbad !! | 0.001 | 1095 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+8) | 1543 | 57% | |
09/15/15 | Silver | 0.001 | 870 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1521 | 89% | |
09/18/15 | Volcano Vista | 0.019 | 1251 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 1142 | 37% | |
09/19/15 | La Cueva | 0.023 | 1305 | T 0- 0 | Better (+1) | 1219 | 29% | |
09/24/15 | Mayfield | 0.034 | 854 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1195 | 89% | |
09/26/15 | at Onate | 0.060 | 859 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1065 | 86% | |
10/01/15 | at Deming | 0.086 | 584 | W 3- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1028 | 97% | |
10/06/15 | at Gadsden | 0.190 | 1013 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1142 | 69% | |
10/10/15 | at Mayfield | 0.278 | 854 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1063 | 87% | |
10/15/15 | Onate | 0.306 | 859 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1197 | 89% | |
10/22/15 | Gadsden | 0.661 | 1013 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1123 | 75% | |
10/24/15 | Deming | 0.228 | 584 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1215 | 98% | |
10/30/15 | Gadsden | 0.842 | 1013 | W 4- 2 | Expected (0) | 1173 | 75% | |
11/05/15 | * Atrisco Heritage | 0.857 | 1350 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 1141 | 20% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Las Cruces actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1005, while
Las Cruces's "weighted playing strength" is 1146
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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